NBA Offseason Grades: Pacific Division

gs warriors champs

Welcome to the final part of my 6 part series of NBA Offseason Grades! If you’ve been keeping up with series, I thank you for lending me your time and patience. If you’re just joining us now, well, better late than never!

For the newbies:

I’ve taken it upon myself to evaluate each team’s offseason transactions. I’ve given each team a letter grade based on whether or not I thought they made good moves considering their respective situations. This includes the draft, resigning period, free agency, trades, firings/hirings, and anything else I deem important. Most importantly, I answer the one pivotal question: Are they better?

I’ve unintentionally saved the most entertaining division for last, as today we discuss the Pacific Division. This division has given us so much in regards to entertainment value since June. We’ve seen a team make NBA history, free agency masquerading as a romantic comedy, the fall of an empire, and Vivek Ranadivé doing Vivek Ranadivé things!

This was awesome!

If you missed it:

Atlantic Division Grades

Southeast Division Grades

Central Division Grades

Northwest Division Grades

Southwest Division Grades

Key: 

  • (R): Rookie
  • (DnS): Draft-n-Stash – players drafted, but playing overseas next year
  • (D): Draft-n-Stash player joining the team
  • Bolded Names: Particularly notable players

And we start with our reigning Pacific Division/NBA Champions:

Golden State Warriors: A+

Re-signed: Leondro Barbosa, Draymond Green

Lost: Justin Holiday, Ognjen Kuzmic, David Lee

Acquired: Chris Babb, Jason Thompson, Gerald Wallace

Drafted: Kevon Looney

Other notable moves: N/A

What did they even do?

Exactly.

The disease of more* runs rampant through championship teams across all sports; and the presence of a salary cap keeps this concept a reality. Winning a championship was great, but the iron is hot. And once the team actually climbs the mountain, self goals often take over for team goals. Players want more money, more playing time, more recognition, a bigger role, etc. And so we see key cogs end up taking huge contracts from other teams and then they disappear, with their new money, into irrelevance; all while their former team struggles to defend their title.

*NOTE: “The disease of more” was coined by Don Pat Riley in his book “Showtime.”

Golden State’s team management were able to avoid the disease of more; at least during this offseason.

Of the 5 team free agents that Golden State needed to make a decision on, only 2 were regular rotation guys. Draymond Green may have gotten a huge raise (5-years/$82 million), but his value to the Warriors is actually fairly represented by his max contract; therefore, is exempt from this rule. And Leandro Barbosa (1-year/$2.5 million) is coming back on a very team-friendly deal.

The David Lee salary dump was a way for Golden State management to save money on the luxury tax. Lee is a solid player, but he really didn’t fit in Steve Kerr’s system anyway. He only played 904 minutes in 49 regular season games in 2014-15 (both career lows), and really only had a cup of coffee in the NBA Finals. Lee may be a good guy to have in your foxhole, but the Warriors certainly don’t need him to defend their title.

(Image from USA Today) Yup, the Warriors are bringing back everyone [who matters].

The drafting of Kevon Looney with the 30th pick sparked a little debate due to the prospect’s health issues (he had offseason hip surgery). This doesn’t worry the Warriors, though. They’re super deep and Looney is likely to ride the pine his rookie season anyway. However, he was expected to be a lottery pick before the report of his surgery surfaced the day of the draft. This makes Looney one of those low-risk/high-reward draft picks. And considering the personnel that the Warriors are boasting next season, they’ll have time to wait on Looney.

So management did their part in avoiding the disease of more. The Warriors will be bringing back just about everyone who mattered on an NBA championship team that boasted one of the 4 best regular seasons of all time. Golden State was right not to tinker with the roster. In this case, less is more. And now we’ll wait and see if Steve Kerr can keep the disease of more at bay during the regular season.

The Warriors may not have gotten better from a personnel standpoint; but they’re still a super deep team with championship experience and arguably the hardest home court for opponents to play on. The Spurs may have won the offseason, but the Warriors are still the champions. And like the Nature Boy Ric Flair once said, “To be the man, you gotta beat the man.”

Are they better?: No (But dammit they’re still good).

Los Angeles Clippers:  F-   A

Re-signed: DeAndre Jordan, Austin Rivers

Lost: Matt Barnes, Glenn Davis, Jordan Hamilton, Spencer Hawes, Lester Hudson, Dahntay Jones, Hedo Turkoglu, Ekpe Udoh

Acquired: Cole Aldrich, Branden Dawson (R), Chuck Hayes, Wesley Johnson, Paul Pierce, Pablo Prigioni, Josh Smith, Lance Stephenson

Drafted: N/A

Other notable moves: N/A

DeAndre Jordan was rumored to want a larger role than one he was receiving with the Clippers. Perhaps to finally have an offense built around him. ESPN’s Kevin Arnovitz reported that DJ also grew tiresome of his relationship with Chris Paul , saying:

He [DJ] was tired of Paul’s constant barking and petty gestures, like distributing high-fives to the three other guys on the floor following a timeout but somehow freezing out Jordan.

And so on July 3rd, DJ agreed (in principle) to sign a 4-year/$80 million deal with the Dallas Mavericks.

A few days later in an interview with Bleacher Report Radio , JJ Redick gave the Los Angeles Clippers his own grade on how they handled their offseason to that point. Keep in mind JJ Redick is still under contract with the Clippers for 2 more years…

Is there an F-minus?

Listen, we had one priority this summer and that was to re-sign DJ and we missed out on that, so barring some miracle, [the] makeup of our team is completely different now. He’s such an integral part of what we did, not just defensively but offensively with his screening, his rolling, his offensive rebounds. His presence down low essentially made teams either commit to the three-point line when Blake [Griffin] or Chris [Paul] penetrated or commit to him, and that either opened up lobs for him or threes for guys like me and Jamal [Crawford] and Matt [Barnes].

So he was a huge part of what we did and missing out and having him leave for Dallas gives us a failing grade.

Yes JJ, I make up the rules for this article, so there is such thing as an ‘F-.’

But on the last day of the free agent moratorium, team owner Steve Balmer, Head Coach Doc Rivers, Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, JJ Redick, and Paul Pierce organized a special ops mission to bring DJ back to the Clippers on a long-term deal. They literally infiltrated his house in Houston, Texas, with the intent of locking DJ inside his house until he agreed to sign a contract. They hashed out their differences, and then they played cards until midnight when DJ was able to officially sign a 4-year/$87 million deal to stay in Los Angeles.

It was an emojional day…

with a few laughs…

and some hurt feelings.

It was the most entertaining offseason day in NBA history.

Getting DJ back puts the Clips in good standing grade-wise. I roasted the Mavericks for even trying to sign DJ; so why would I applaud the Clips for going to such lengths to woo their center back?

It’s simple, the Clippers needed DJ to stay.

DJ is actually a perfect fit with the Clippers, his overpaid price tag be damned. He’s the third best player on a contender (ideal role), CP3 and Blake Griffin are running the offense and are very good passers, DJ is the best pick-and-roll finisher in the NBA, and he anchors the defense.

Obviously I was alluding to the fact that I don’t think he’s worth the $21 million+ per year, but it’s not like the Clippers could parlay that money into other players. The Clippers were already over the salary cap before the DJ contract, and the only reason they could pay him big money in the first place was because they owned his Bird Rights. If they lost DJ, they’re not getting anyone else who can replicate what he does for this team; at least not in free agency.

Last post-season the Clippers beat the reigning champion San Antonio Spurs in a 7-game first round series, and were 1 win away from making it to the WCF. Their starting point guard/league’s best point guard turned 30 in May and is entering year 11 of his career (history suggests he will begin to drop off this year or next), and Blake Griffin is just entering his prime. It’s simple, the Clippers are in win-now mode, and the way they went after DJ during the moratorium confirms that notion. DJ walks, and the Clippers are wasting next season.

The Clippers’ Achilles heal in the playoffs last year was their lack of depth. As I mentioned earlier they didn’t have much in the way of cap room, either. General Manager Doc Rivers turned chicken crap into a half-way decent chicken salad by acquiring depth through means of trades, trade exceptions, and minimum contracts.

They traded Matt Barnes and Spencer Hawes to the Charlotte Hornets for the notorious headache that is Lance Stephenson. Stephenson was a triple-double machine 2 years ago in Indiana, but played his way out of the starting line-up in Charlotte via his 38-17-63 shooting splits and just all around bad attitude. I don’t love the risk of bringing in Lance just because of his tendency to rub people the wrong way; but he’s coming into a situation where there’s strong leadership in both the locker room and organization, and he stands a better chance of being kept in check. I can justify the risk given these circumstances. Good move.

The Clippers will miss Matt Barnes’ toughness, his ability to defend multiple positions, and his ability to hit the 3; but the Clips were able to replace Barnes when they signed Paul Pierce to a 3-year/$10 million deal via the tax-payer’s mid-level exception. Pierce brings the same package to the table as Barnes did, plus a proven leadership presence. Pierce is also a native of Los Angeles and won a championship with Coach Rivers in Boston in 2008, so there’s also a little bit of a full circle narrative in relation to this signing. But hey, Pierce is a guy you want in your foxhole.

Doc also managed to pry Josh Smith away from a Western Conference rival despite only being able to offer a minimum contract. Smith is an 11 year veteran who showed a lot of value coming off the bench for the Rockets in the second half of last season; which instantly makes him an upgrade over the 87 year old Hedo Turkoglu. And I imagine the 14 4th quarter points that Smith threw down against the Clips in game 6 to save the Rockets’ season had a little something to do with this signing, as well. But that’s none of my business.

And the Clips also managed to bring in Cole Aldrich, Chuck Hayes, Wesley Johnson, and Pablo Prigioni to beef up the end of their bench. Solid role players at good prices.

Seems like Doc is getting better at this Coach/GM thing.

Are they better?: Yes.

Phoenix Suns: C-

Re-signed: Brandon Knight 

Lost: Earl Barron, Reggie Bullock, Gerald Green, Andrew Harrison (R), Jerel McNeal, Marcus Morris, Marcus Thornton, Brandan Wright

Acquired: Tyson Chandler, Jon Leuer, Ronnie Price, Mirza Teletovic, Sonny Weems

Drafted: Devin Booker

Other notable moves: N/A

I haven’t had a good grip on the Phoenix Suns’ game plan ever since they traded for Isaiah Thomas in 2014 when they already boasted a Goran Dragic/Eric Bledsoe back court; then essentially traded Dragic, Thomas, the Lakers’ top-5 (now top-3) protected first round pick + spare parts for Brandon Knight.

I can’t base this summer’s Suns grade on what happened in past years, but its worth noting I have no idea what’s going on in Phoenix.

Anyway…

The Suns kicked off free agency by signing Brandon Knight to a 5-year/$70 million deal. I personally like Brandon Knight as an all around player, and I think he gets unfairly lambasted based solely on the amount of times he’s landed on the wrong side of a YouTube clip . But he’s a versatile combo guard who does a lot of things well. For some reason his stats dropped after the trade to Phoenix. Granted the sample size was small (11 games in Phoenix compared to 52 in Milwaukee), so it is possible he may have struggled adjusting to a new system on the fly.

(Image from USA Today) With Phoenix committing to Brandon Knight long-term, could Eric Bledsoe be the next Sun to go?

That being said, the Suns went about this all wrong.

Knight was a restricted free agent and the Suns came in with a massive deal in hand without letting the market decide his value. That’s a big no-no when it comes to restricted free agency, unless the player’s name is Kawhi Leonard or Anthony Davis of course.

They would have been better off letting him find a deal in free agency and just matching it. Sure, they may have ended up overpaying him to stick around anyway, but it beats overpaying the guy when the only team you’re competing against is yourself.

The Suns also brought in Tyson Chandler on a 4-year/$52 million contract. He’s obviously being brought in to anchor the defense and serve as a positive veteran leader with championship pedigree; which is good. I imagine Dallas would bring him back if they had a mulligan on free agency. The drawback is that Chandler turns 33 in October, has 14 seasons under his belt, and has had trouble staying healthy his whole career. It’s an alright pick-up at a fairly steep price. I can’t imagine that contract ages well, either.

The Suns also traded Marcus Morris (the lesser twin), and let Brandan Wright and Gerald Green walk in free agency. Mirza Teletovic is a nice pick-up as a floor spacer on the cheap; but other than him, the Suns brought in a cast of role players to fill in the blanks.

I liked the decision to draft Devin Booker at number 13. Booker was arguably the best shooter in his draft class, and should develop nicely in Phoenix’s pace-and-space system.

It’s obvious LaMarcus Aldridge was the apple of Phoenix’s eye this offseason. But LMA chose the San Antonio Spurs, and it appears the Suns didn’t have a contingency plan in case that scenario occurred. So now they find themselves in a situation with no star player and no real direction to go in next season.

The Suns went 39-43 last season (10-17 post trade deadline). Given whom they let walk and whom they brought in, I can’t say that the Suns are better than where they were April 15th. Jeff Hornacek is an under-rated coach who’s been really good at bringing out the best in his players; but even he has his work cut out for him this year in the loaded Western Conference.

I don’t really know where the Suns go from here; but it’s certainly not up.

Are they better?: No.

Sacramento Kings: F

Re-signed:  Omri Casspi

Lost: Reggie Evans, Ryan Hollins, Carl Landry, Ray McCallum, Andre Miller, Eric Moreland, Nik Stauskas, Jason Thompson, Derrick Williams

Acquired: Quincy Acy, James Anderson, Marco Belinelli, Caron Butler, Seth Curry, Duje Dukan (R), Kosta Koufos, Rajon Rondo

Drafted: Willie Cauley-Stein

Other notable moves: N/A

Congratulations, Sacramento Kings! You just took the Most Dysfunctional Organization in the NBA title belt away from the New York Knicks!

Where do I even start?

How about allowing your 3rd head coach in 1 calendar year the opportunity to alienate your franchise center? Then let said head coach keep his job after he publicly looked to trade said franchise center? Yes, DeMarcus Cousins has 3 years left on one of the best bargain contracts in the league; but there’s no chance in Hell he’s sticking around Sac-Town after the 2018 season.

Or how about paying the Philadelphia 76ers a package of Nik Stauskas (2014 – Round 1, Pick 8), a future 1st round pick, and the right to swap picks in 2 future drafts just to take on Jason Thompson, Carl Landry, and their combined $26 million+ salaries over the next 2-3 seasons?

Yes, this trade actually happened.

Forget the fact that they could have used the stretch provision to buy out Carl Landry. Why wouldn’t they just offer this trade to Denver for the right to Ty Lawson? After all, Denver basically ended giving away Lawson to the Houston Rockets following his 2nd DUI of the past year. This would have ultimately been a win-win for both the Kings and the Nuggets had it come to fruition. Instead, Denver dumped Lawson for spare parts and a late first round pick, the Rockets solidified their spot as a contender, the 76ers (briefly) looked like the smartest team in the room, and the Kings ended up tossing their future draft picks away and overpaying for a point guard who’s best years were left behind in 2013.

Speaking of which…

Go ahead and add a 1-year/$10 million contract for Rajon Rondo to Sacramento’s dumpster fire. In case you missed it, last season the Mavericks bet the farm on a Rondo resurgence in the hopes that he would be the missing link to a championship team. Instead, Rondo butt heads with Head Coach Rick Carlisle and played his way out of the rotation in the playoffs. Rondo threw away any leverage he had in a big money contract in free agency, and then the Kings gave him a $10 million deal when no one else even wanted him.

Yes, Boogie Cousins and Rondo will play for a team coached by George Karl. This instantly makes the Kings a must-watch NBA League Pass team. Not for the games themselves; rather for the comedy. Boogie, Rondo, and Karl could end up choking each other out on any given night! No seriously, its going to be Survivor: Sacramento Kings in 2015-16.

A couple other moves I’m not a huge fan of:
1.) Kosta Koufos – 4-years/$33 million. Bleh.
2.) Drafting Willie Cauley-Stein with the 6th overall pick; passing on Emmanuel Mudiay (7), Stanley Johnson (8), and Justise Winslow (10). I love WCS as a prospect; but the last thing the Kings needed was another center. There were better options at number 6, even if they planned on trading Boogie.

I’ll close with this. Pardon me while I borrow/touch-up a quote from Billy Madison that I think correctly reflects the Sacramento Kings’ offseason:

[Sacramento Kings], what you’ve just [done this offseason] is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever [seen]. At no point in your [embarrassing], [franchise debilitating moves] were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational [plan]. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having [witnessed] it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.

Original Version!

Are they better?: No.

Los Angeles Lakers: D

Re-signed: N/A

Lost: Vander Blue, Carlos Boozer, Ed Davis, Wayne Ellington, Jordan Hill, Wesley Johnson, Jeremy Lin, Ronnie Price

Acquired: Brandon Bass, Michael Frazier (R), Jonathan Holmes (R), Roy Hibbert, Lou Williams

Drafted: D’Angelo Russell, Larry Nance, Jr., Anthony Brown,

Other notable moves: N/A

This summer we witnessed the end of an era. Sure, the Lakers haven’t won a championship since 2010, and they last made the playoffs in 2013. But I’m not talking about wins and losses. Down years happen to just about every franchise, and the presence of a salary cap has made it especially difficult to maintain dominance over consecutive years.

Instead, I’m referencing the aura and the mystique that once upon a time surrounded the Lakers franchise. 16 championships, a big market, an LA lifestyle, establishing a legacy; what star player wouldn’t be drawn to these elements? Especially if the money was equal.

After all, good things would just happen to the Lakers throughout NBA history. Stars like Wilt Chamberlain, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, and Shaquille O’Neal would just fall onto their laps.

But not this time. There was no LaMarcus Aldridge; nor Greg Monroe. Instead their was Brandon Bass and Roy Hibbert.

It’s not just failing to get a star, it’s why they didn’t get a star. Aldridge sat down with the Lakers twice, where they pitched branding, young pieces, and the opportunity to play with Kobe Bryant; but LMA was turned off by LA’s old-fashioned style of play. And he had no interest in being the Pau Gasol to his Kobe Bryant.

Meanwhile Greg Monroe turned down both the Lakers and the Knicks to play for the small-market Milwaukee Bucks because he believed they had the best chance of winning.

It was a bigger loss for the Lakers than it was for the Knicks. The Knicks have sucked for the better part of the last 15 years, and have swung-and-missed on a number of premier free agents. The Lakers aren’t used to this. This uncharted waters.

This summer was one of the last chances for the Lakers to extend Kobe’s career by adding another star, and yet it ended horribly.

I mean, the sum of the parts gained is actually fairly better than the parts lost. Brandon Bass cancels out the loss of Ed Davis, but Roy Hibbert finally gives the Lakers a rim protector. Reigning Sixth Man of the Year Lou Williams is a good pick-up assuming the Lakers keep him in that role and not try to shoe-horn him into the starting line-up with Kobe.

I also LOVE D’Angelo Russell as a prospect. But even D’Angelo drew the ire of Lakers Nation when he had the cajones to call Tracy McGrady the GOAT when one Kobe Bryant is on his team. Take a lap, young fella.

The Los Angeles Lakers now find themselves (temporarirly) stripped of their competitive advantages. Now they are forced to rebuild the old fashioned way like the rest of the teams in NBA: through draft picks and smart business decisions. Truth be told, it’s not the worst way to rebuild in this league. But this was not the gameplan GM Mitch Kupchak drew up. So this is going to cost them.

Are they better?: Yes.


 

 

6 divisions and 30 NBA teams later, and we’ve have completed the NBA Offseason Grades series! I’ll revisit these grades somewhere around the all-star break just to see where each team stands and see how accurate each representation was. Only 7 more weeks until opening night!

Thank you very much to basketball-reference.com , espn.go.com/nba , and hoopshype.com for the stats and information used in this article.

http://SportsRants.com

Why the Clippers need to let DeAndre Jordan go

(Credit: Kirby Lee/USA Today Sports)

After falling to the Houston Rockets in the Western Conference semifinals, it became evident that the Los Angeles Clippers need to undergo some serious changes this offseason if the team hopes to compete for a championship. While point guard Chris Paul and forward Blake Griffin both had spectacular postseasons, it was the supporting cast, led by guards J.J. Redick and Jamal Crawford and forward Matt Barnes, that failed to show up.

The Clippers’ lack of depth was something that held the team back all season long. Los Angeles ranked 24th in the NBA in bench points per game, and the team’s reserves ranked 27th in field goal percentage and 29th in efficiency (according to HoopsStats ).

There were moments where the Clippers appeared to have enough depth to reach the NBA Finals. Guard Austin Rivers, son of head coach Doc Rivers, had a series of breakout performances against both the Rockets and the San Antonio Spurs. His 16-point outing on 7-of-8 shooting in Game 4 against the Spurs was a huge reason Los Angeles was able to even the series 2-2 with a 114-105 victory in San Antonio. He also helped L.A. take a 3-1 series lead over the Rockets by averaging 16 points per game through the first four games of the series.

But Rivers reverted back to his old self the final three games, going 6-for-23 from the field and scoring just 15 points. Forward Glen Davis had some moments in the San Antonio series, but he was basically a nonfactor in the Houston series. Forward Spencer Hawes, who was acquired last season from the Philadelphia 76ers, was supposed to have a much larger role on the team, but saw virtually no playing time when the playoffs arrived.

The Clippers’ only scoring threat off the bench has been Crawford, but the team’s lack of depth put a great amount of pressure on him to score. While he averaged 15.8 points per game in the regular season, he was unable to find his stroke in the playoffs, averaging 11.7 points on 38.4 percent shooting against the Spurs and 13.7 points on 34.0 percent shooting against the Rockets.

Simply put, Rivers needs to upgrade his bench if his team has any hope of competing for a title.

Enter DeAndre Jordan.

The 7-foot center has been arguably the most impressive big man over the past two seasons. While his offensive game is still a work in progress, he’s led the league in rebounding two years in a row, posting averages of 13.6 and 15.0 per game, respectively. He’s also been among the league leaders in blocks per game, and his 21.09 PER ranks ninth among NBA centers (according to ESPN’s John Hollinger ). His athleticism and size are almost unparalleled, and at age 26, he’s just entering his prime.

But Jordan will be an unrestricted free agent this offseason, meaning he can sign with any team he chooses. Rivers stated that he plans on offering Jordan a max contract , and if he were to sign the deal, he would remain with Paul and Griffin for the foreseeable future.

However, this would make things very complicated for the Clippers, financially. Both Paul and Griffin are under max contracts until the 2016-17 seasons with player options for 2017-18, and Los Angeles currently has $59.7 million committed to next season’s salary cap (according to HoopsHype ), which is projected to be $67.1 million according to ESPN senior writer Marc Stein . Giving Jordan a max contract would launch L.A. over the salary cap and put the team in serious danger of exceeding the luxury cap, which would result in a luxury tax.

Oh, and that $59.7 million? Not only does that exclude Jordan, but that leaves out Crawford (who has a $5.7 million team option), the Clippers’ best reserve scorer.

If Rivers stays committed to his statement and gives Jordan a max contract, L.A. will almost certainly have to decline Crawford’s option and persuade him to sign for a lot less money. That would be foolish for him to accept, as he could fetch much more money on the open market. Secondly, offering Jordan the max would leave Rivers and the Clippers with little to no money to fill out the remainder of the roster. Ultimately, Rivers is putting his bench in a position to be even worse than it was this season if he stays true to his word.

But if Los Angeles allowed Jordan to sign elsewhere, the team would not only be able to pick up Crawford’s option, but it could bring in higher-quality free agents to fortify an abysmal reserve unit. Paul and Griffin showed this postseason that they are capable of leading their team to victory, but their efforts can only take the rest of the group so far.

The Portland Trail Blazers faced a similar situation last season. While their starting unit was one of the most effective in the league, their bench was one of the worst. So the team brought in former Los Angeles Lakers Steve Blake and Chris Kaman in the offseason and acquired former Denver Nuggets and Orlando Magic wing Aaron Afflalo at the trade deadline. Unfortunately, injuries to a handful of players including guard Wesley Matthews derailed the team’s playoff push.

DeAndre Jordan will be a hot commodity this summer. Teams like the Lakers and the New York Knicks have tons of cap space to unload, while the Spurs and the Dallas Mavericks could also make a push to sign Jordan if they strike out on Blazers forward LaMarcus Aldridge and Memphis Grizzlies center Marc Gasol. In sum, Jordan could easily fetch a max contract from another team if he decides to leave the Clippers.

For L.A., it may be best to let him walk if Rivers is serious about rebuilding his bench.

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Will Chris Paul ever win a ring?

(Richard Rowe/Getty Images)

Since Chris Paul was drafted fourth overall by the (then) New Orleans Hornets in 2005, the point guard from Wake Forest has been one of the NBA’s best over the past decade. He’s a former Rookie of the Year, an eight-time All-Star, a four-time member of both the All-NBA First Team and the All-Defensive First Team, a six-time league steals leader and a four-time league assists leader. He’s won two Olympic gold medals with Team USA in 2008 and 2012 and his No. 3 jersey is retired at Wake Forest.

From a numbers standpoint, Paul has averaged a double-double in points and assists per game five times in his 10-year career. He’s also averaged at least two steals per game eight times including a career-high 2.8 per game in the 2008-09 season. At just 30 years old, he ranks 16th all-time in assists (6,950) and 24th all-time in steals (1,641).

The man known as CP3 is by all means a superstar point guard, and he’s almost a shoo-in for the Hall of Fame.

However, despite making the postseason seven times, he’s yet to win his first NBA championship. Moreover, he’s yet to advance beyond the second round.

And it’s not necessarily any fault of his own. In his third and final playoff appearance with New Orleans in 2011, he turned in arguably the best postseason performance of his career with an underwhelming supporting cast, averaging 22.0 points, 11.5 assists and a playoff career-high 6.7 rebounds per game while shooting 54.5 percent from the field and 47.4 percent from 3-point range. But it wasn’t enough, as All-Star guard Kobe Bryant and the Los Angeles Lakers bounced the Hornets out of the first round in six games.

 

Things would then get messy for the Hornets. Prior to their postseason elimination, the league purchased the team from former owner George Shinn for an estimated $300 million. After the loss to the Lakers, Paul told the team he would not sign an extension and that he wanted to be traded, with the New York Knicks topping his list . New Orleans attempted to ship Paul to the Lakers in a three-team deal that would’ve sent center Pau Gasol from Los Angeles to the Houston Rockets and netted the Hornets a trio of top-flight players such as forwards Lamar Odom and Luis Scola and guard Kevin Martin. But the trade was rejected by former commissioner David Stern for “basketball reasons”, shocking the organization and generating plenty of buzz throughout the league . Paul was eventually traded to the Los Angeles Clippers for center Chris Kaman, forward Al-Farouq Aminu, guard Eric Gordon and a unprotected 2012 first-round pick via the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Through four seasons in Los Angeles, Paul has helped the Clippers compile a 206-103 record. He’s also led the team to the postseason in each of those seasons. However, the team lost three times in the Western Conference semifinals and once in the first round.

Unlike his time in New Orleans though, Paul has been surrounded by extraordinary talents throughout his tenure with the Clippers including All-Star forward and former No. 1 overall pick Blake Griffin and league-leading rebounder DeAndre Jordan. Los Angeles also brought in veteran forward Matt Barnes, sharpshooter J.J. Redick and high-volume scorer Jamal Crawford to improve the team’s shooting. Lastly, championship coach and future Hall of Famer Doc Rivers was acquired from the Boston Celtics to help bring the Clippers their first title in franchise history.

But even with all these pieces in place, Los Angeles still can’t figure it out, recently choking away a 3-1 series lead to the Rockets in the conference semifinals.

And Paul is still seeking his first conference finals bid.

With the pressure on him to finally break through, Paul performed valiantly this postseason, averaging 22.1 points and 8.8 assists in 12 playoff games while shooting 50.3 percent from the field and 94.7 percent from the free-throw line. He was also responsible for lifting the Clippers over the San Antonio Spurs in the first round after hitting a dagger off the backboard in Game 7.

 

But Paul’s performance against the Spurs will be overlooked by his team’s epic collapse against the Rockets. The Clippers led Houston at home by 19 points in the fourth quarter of Game 6 with 3-2 series lead, but were outscored 40-15 in the final 12 minutes of the game. The Rockets then took Game 7 in wire-to-wire fashion.

With their season now over, the Clippers have a number of issues to address. Jordan will be a unrestricted free agent this offseason and reports indicate he’s seeking a max contract . Paul and Griffin will make a combined total of over $40 million next season, so if Rivers offers Jordan a max deal, Los Angeles would almost certainly go over both the salary cap and the luxury cap. Unless the Clippers decline Crawford’s $5.7 million team option and/or find a way to deal Redick, Barnes and/or center Spencer Hawes, new owner Steve Ballmer will likely be forced to pay the penalty for going over the limit.

Another interesting twist is that Jordan and Paul reportedly had a falling out during the season that could drive Jordan away from Los Angeles. With the Clippers’ tight financial situation, all signs could point to Jordan leaving if these reports are true. And if he does end up signing elsewhere, can Rivers lead the team to a title without one of the league’s best young big men?

Rivers stated after the Game 7 loss that rebuilding the bench will be one of his top priorities this summer . But if he gives Jordan a five-year, $108.3 million max extension, the team’s funds to bring in quality reserves will be almost, if not completely nonexistent. Therefore, it would make more sense for Los Angeles to let Jordan walk if the team truly wants to improve its bench.

Overall, there is a lot of uncertainty hovering over the Clippers, and as the team gears up for another championship-or-bust season, the pressure and expectations will continue to mount on Paul to deliver.

Or if he will deliver at all.

Russell Hodges is an NBA writer for Sports Rants. Follow him on Twitter @russelljhodges

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NBA Playoff Notebook (2nd round Edition)

 photo credit: Cleveland.com

 

Eastern Conference

1 Hawks / 5 Wizards

Wizards snagged home court from the Hawks by getting a split in Atlanta, now it is their turn to defend home court. The Hawks were 25-16 on the road this season so its not crazy to believe they can get a game or two in Washington. The health of John Wall will be key because this is just a different team without him. Ramon Sessions is a more than a capable backup but he still isn’t Wall.

Also of note Bradley Beal is a match-up problem for Atlanta.

The Hawks are still searching for the synergy they had back in January when they went 19-0. They are a machine but for some reason that machine has been coughing up double digits leads and having trouble finishing. The Wizards are a team that has had a measure of playoff success and if you don’t put them away it could bite you.

We still believe the Hawks are the better team but like most of these second round series, it may go the distance. Hawks win the series in 7.

2 Cavaliers / 3 Bulls

If the Cavs have to give significant playing time to guys like Mike Miller, James Jones and Shawn Marion this will be a quick series. Losing Kevin Love was big but losing Love AND J.R. Smith might be too much for the Cavs to overcome. Lebron James is still the best player on the planet but as of now the Bulls simply have the better team.

Despite letting the Bucks sticking around in the 1st series the Bulls looked pretty sharp in this series. We’re not so much worried about home court as we are not knowing what the Cavs are going to do when they are short handed. Game 2 will be really big.

Sticking with our guns and our preseason pick because we’re stubborn, Cavs in 7.

 

Western Conference

1 Warriors / 5 Grizzlies

If anyone has solved the riddle that is Steph Curry please let us know. He is on a tear right now and deservedly so they are the front runners to win it all. The Grizz are built for playoff basketball with their tough defense and strong inside game.

Will Tony Allen be the kyptonite to Steph Curry’s superman?

Only time will tell but the Warriors are in for a dog fight. Regardless of if the Warriors win or lose when this series is over it will look like they have been in a fight. We are gonna stick with our preseason prediction and say Grizzlies in 7.

2 Rockets / 3 Clippers

If I were to tell you that Austin Rivers would get the game 1 start in Houston in place of a injured Chris Paul most would let out a laugh. If I continued further and told  you they would actually win the game by 16 you’d might not make it.

That happened.

Paul’s status is still up in the air for game 2 but stealing homecourt without their star player has the Clips playing with house money. Rockets still have a very talented team, it is going to be interesting to see if they can overcome those defensive lapses and reliance on the 3 ball.

This series is far from over, look for the Clippers to win the series in 7.

Bowflex.com

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Rocket Fuel

credit: joeraquiza.info

The NBA MVP is the league’s most prestigious individual award. While there are a multitude of statistics  you could use to argue for either Stephen Curry or James Harden, there is now one simple fact.

Stephen Curry is the 2014-2015 NBA MVP.

Another fact? Professional athletes have large egos. It’s what helps them reach seemingly impossible levels of greatness. The difference is being able to use that ego to remain at the top, while not letting it take over them as a whole. So one would not be surprised to find out James Harden feels snubbed- and rightfully so. Harden spoke to ESPN.com following the MVP announcement:

That’s tough, but we’re in the second round of the playoffs and I got better things to worry about and that’s the Clippers,” Harden said. “They’re a very good team that’s rolling right now and it didn’t work out. But there’s more of the season to continue to play.

Whoever came in second in this year’s race would have felt that way. But now that it’s all said and done, Harden can’t wallow in self-pity, or blind himself with rage. He needs to take a page out of former Thunder teammate Russell Westbrook’s book and play with a chip on his shoulder.

This doesn’t mean Harden needs to dominate the ball even more. Quite the opposite. This added edge should motivate him to showcase those MVP-like skills we’ve seen all season. Whether it’s hitting his patented stepback jumper , dazzling with his handles , dishing it to his teammates or playing much improved defense- Harden must channel this sense of resentment.

“The Beard” is coming off a regular season which saw him hit career-highs in points, rebounds, assists, free throw percentage, makes and attempts. But more importantly, his team is coming off of five days’ rest after putting away the Dallas Mavericks. The perks are obvious. More time to rest up, treat any ailments and to scout the upcoming opponent. But there is a slippery slope of having plenty of time to heal up, while not resting too long and letting complacency set in.

There have likely been plenty of people in Houston’s ear that have congratulated them on a job well done against an in-state rival. While satisfying, the Rockets must remain hungrier than ever to go farther in the playoffs. Harden’s quest for the scoring title and MVP came up short, but he has bigger things on his horizon:

Obviously, an individual award, the MVP, is amazing. But like I said we got an amazing opportunity in this locker room and I’m not going to let one individual award affect what we got going on in this locker room. We still have a great season to play in and some great games ahead of us.

The team’s chemistry on the court is at a season high- all the way from Harden to the last guy on the bench. Dwight Howard looks to have returned to his old form both on offense and defense- but must stay on the court to be effective. Howard spoke to Jonathan Feigen of the Houston Chronicle about his latest conversation with former Rocket great and mentor Hakeem Olajuwon:

The main thing Dream has been telling me is really to stay on the floor. He knows I want to use my physical play to beat down opponents, but more so, use my legs and my feet instead of my arms and try to make it a weight-room match. That’s his big message, just keep playing as hard as I am, keep dominating the paint, but stay on the floor.

 

One-time problem child Josh Smith has found his way- and along with Corey Brewer- power the Rockets’ second unit. Even the so-called “grandpas” in Jason Terry and Pablo Prigioni are making up on both sides of the ball for the absent Patrick Beverley. The point guard duo will have to contend with Paul, Jamal Crawford and sharp-shooting J.J Redick

That chemistry, along with the fact Houston opens up Game 1 at home are integral.

On the flip side, the Clippers are coming off a war with San Antonio. While spirits are high that they dispatched of the defending champions, the Los Angeles camp must have doubts. Starting point guard Chris Paul is probable with a hamstring injury . Normally it’d be quite the blow to the Clippers- but tonight would be an even bigger one with how out-of-his-mind Paul has been playing: 22.7 points, 7.9 assists and 2 steals per game. Paul has also shot 43% from beyond the arc, making any potential missed time a true robbery for not only Clippers’ fans but NBA fans in general. Harden and Paul have developed quite the on-court chemistry as well.

Regardless of Paul’s hamstring, one thing rings true for this series. The big boys have come to play.  Dwight Howard hadn’t played in any of the four regular season games against LAC, but is peaking at the right time. Blake Griffin (24 ppg/13 rpg in 7 games against the Spurs) will look to expose any weakness Houston has at the four with Terrence Jones and Josh Smith. Both Dwight (13.8) and DeAndre Jordan (13.3) have been monsters on the boards. The con is that both allow either team to utilize the hack-a strategy. Jordan shoots 38% at the line, and Dwight a slightly better 46%.

When first asked about Chris Paul’s status, Clippers head coach Doc Rivers told the LA Times, “Uh, he’s alive.”

So is James Harden. And if he can use this perceived MVP snub as fuel, it’ll only lead to a man-and team- on fire.

 

Like it? Love it? Hate it? Let me know @SeanNeutron .

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NBA Playoffs Second Round Preview and Picks

(image from miragesbg.com)

 

The second round of the 2015 NBA playoffs is underway. ‘12’ is now the magic number of wins that separate one team from NBA history. For those of you keeping score at home, I went 7-1 for first round predictions, barely missing the Clippers-Spurs series (Part 1 & Part 2 ). The answer to your question is yes, self high-fives are pathetic. Though, I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention that the first round didn’t go exactly how I anticipated. Last year’s first round gave us five game sevens and some of the most entertaining basketball of the playoffs; this year, not so much. One game seven and a series of series where only one team showed up left me in a state of wanting more. But if history is any indicator, then a putrid first round will be followed up with an exciting second round. At least that’s how I’m going to go about it.

Playoff Stats:

Home Teams: 26-15

Home teams in closeout games to put the series away: 3-2

 

And now let’s get to our second round preview!

Western Conference

(1)  Golden State Warriors vs. (5) Memphis Grizzlies

First Round Finishes: GSW 4 – NOP 0; Mem 4 – Por 1

Season Series: GSW 2 – Mem 1

Saying that the Golden State Warriors made short-work of the New Orleans Pelicans would be an insult to Anthony Davis and company. The Dubs defended home court without much of a scare in games one and two, but it took a historic 20 point fourth quarter comeback and a no-look three pointer from (the likely) MVP Stephen Curry to force overtime in game three, where they eventually pilfered a win from the Pellies in New Orleans. The Warriors shot 50.6% from the field in game four en route to an 11 point victory, clinching the sweep. In part one of my first round preview, I said Anthony Davis would have his way with the Warriors; and he did, averaging 31.5 points, 11 rebounds, 3 blocks, and shooting 54% from the field in four games. Well played, Brow, well played.

(Image fromscmp.com) Call me a softie, but this picture is one of my favorites from round one

The Memphis Grizzlies found themselves on the happy end of the controversial seeding rule that gave the Portland Trail Blazers a four seed, despite them having the West’s sixth best record. Instead of playing the reigning champion San Antonio Spurs, they squared off against an injury depleted Trail Blazers team.

If there’s any team left in the playoffs that would benefit from rest, it’s the Grizzlies. Mike Conley’s surgery may have been a success, but his return for the second round is up in the air. Mike Conley may not have the notoriety like Chris Paul or Russell Westbrook, but there’s no doubt in my mind he’s a top ten point guard in the game right now. He’s a veteran table-setter who knows how and when to get his teammates involved, and can take over a game with his scoring ability if that’s what the situation calls for. His impact on the Grizzlies cannot be accurately measured by his numbers.

We saw his value in the last series when the Grizz were seemingly on cruise control in games one and two. All eyes were on Damian Lillard, as Conley and the Grizzlies exploited his inability to defend. On the other end of the court, Lillard put up sub-Damian numbers, including 18 points and 4.3 assists per game, while shooting 35.2% from the field in the first three games of the series. When Conley went down, backups Beno Udrih and Nick Calathes saw more playing time. Lillard went for 27 points and 5 assists in games four and five, while putting up a 46.7% clip. CJ McCollum had a similar story arc, averaging 11.3 points on 34.3% shooting in games one through three, and then 25.5 points/game on a 62.5% clip then next two games. Coincidence? I don’t believe in coincidences.

I’m going to operate under the assumption that Mike Conley will not be available for at least the first two games of this series. If Tony Allen, Udrih, and Calathes had their hands full with Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, I have serious doubts they’ll be able to contain the Splash Brothers Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph will present match-up problems for the Warriors at times, but they won’t find the same success that Anthony Davis found in round one because they’re just not that type of player.

The Warriors are now 41-2 at home since the start of the season. I expect the Grizzlies to drop games one and two in Oakland, because there is no way they will be able to keep up with the Warriors without Conley’s leadership. Jeff Green is just too inconsistent, and I can’t see Gasol and Z-Bo carrying this team when the Splash Brothers are raining three’s. Conley’s game three return will keep games three and four close in Memphis, but I don’t expect Golden State to lose both games on the road. The Grizzlies’ offensive woes and Mike Conley’s absence will hurt them in this series, but it’s Golden State’s up-tempo style that will ultimately be Memphis’ demise. If you’re going to beat a historically great team, then one of your best three players can’t be hurt.

Warriors defeat Grizzlies in 5

 

(2) Houston Rockets vs. (3) Los Angeles Clippers

First Round Finishes: Hou 4 – Dal 1; LAC 4 – SAS 3

Season Series: Hou 2 – LAC 2

I picked Houston to win their round one series with the Mavericks in seven games, because I somehow forgot that Rajon Rondo is a cancer to his team, Tyson Chandler is the Mavs’ only big that can play defense, Dirk Nowitzki is a 37 year old 7-footer, and Josh Smith was the third best player in this series. Wait, WHAT?!

You read that right.

Smith’s first round stats: 17.4 point, 6.4 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and shot 51.5% from the field…and 39.1% from three! He managed to put up the second most points and assists for the Rockets, despite not even starting one game. Josh Smith is the not the third star that the Rockets deserve; but he’s the third star they need right now.

Other points of emphasis:

  • James Harden exorcised last year’s playoff demons by putting up a 28-8-4 stat line on 46.5% shooting. Those who said he wouldn’t be able to get to the free throw line in the playoffs can chew on his 52 free throw attempts in that opening series.
  • Dwight Howard looks healthy. His 16.6 points, 13.8 rebounds, and 3 blocks per game make the Rockets a very scary team.
  • Depth was not an issue in the first round: five Rockets scored double-digits per game, including two bench players.

Take these points with a cinderblock of salt, though. In early March I said I felt that the Mavericks were headed for an inevitable first round exit. The Mavs simply could not defend the Rockets, likely inflating a few players’ stats (cough, Josh Smith, cough). But the fact is James Harden and Dwight Howard are playing like a first-banana and second-banana should be playing, they’re getting contributions from their bench, and most importantly the Rockets are on to the next round.

(Image from Bleacher Report) Both CP3 [left] and Harden [right] have carried their teams throughout the season. We’ll find out who can carry that load a little further.

The Clippers-Spurs series may have been one of the best round one bouts I’ve ever seen (feel free to argue). This series had a Western Conference Finals feel to it. After squandering game five at home, Chris Paul and company put together one of the best two-game stretches in Clippers history (no argument there), winning on the road in game six to set up a chance to close out the two-time reigning Western Conference Champions at home in game seven. Game seven was a closely contested game throughout, and it took another Blake Griffin triple-double and the biggest shot of Chris Paul’s career (soooo much hyperbole in this paragraph!) to finally put the down Spurs and quiet Clippers critics (for the time being). Well done, Clippers.

The Rockets are well-rested after closing out the Mavericks in five games; whereas, the Clippers played their best basketball all season in seven games with the Spurs. More often than not, I’m riding with the team playing well coming off the long series because I’m a believer in momentum. But the reason I picked the Spurs to be beat the Clippers in the first round was the lack of quality depth on the Clippers’ bench. Blake Griffin averaged 41 minutes per game in that first round series, and CP3, JJ Redick, and DeAndre Jordan all averaged 36 to 39 minutes per game. By the way, the Clips’ starting five averaged 80.7 of the team’s 103 points per game. Though, I will cede that the Clippers did get quality bench play at opportune times from Jamal Crawford, Austin Rivers, and Glen Davis.

However, I can’t see this level of play sustaining against a well-rested Rockets team. I think those seven games with the Spurs were as mentally taxing and it were physical. For that reason alone, I’m out .

Rockets defeat Clippers in 6

 

Eastern Conference

(1) Atlanta Hawks vs. (5) Washington Wizards

First Round Finishes: Atl 4 – Brk 2 ; Was 4 – Tor 0

Season Series: Atl 3 – Was 1

The Atlanta Hawks non-believers really came out of the woodwork in the first round series with the Brooklyn Nets. Somehow, the vaunted Hawks and their system blew two road games and allowed a team that didn’t even really belong in the playoffs to push the series to six games. I’m not going to reach for the “they don’t have a go-to star” low-hanging fruit; instead, I’ll point out their injury situation.

But first, let me point out that you don’t just walk into a 60-22 overall record (which is good for the league’s second best record), with a 29-11 record against playoff teams. That’s a team that’s done everything they can in the span of a regular season to give them the best chance to come out of the Eastern Conference.

Coach Budenholzer’s pace-and-space system has allowed the Hawks to utilize their strengths and minimize their weaknesses. However teams, coaches, and offensive/defensive schemes are more sophisticated in the playoffs. It’s very hard to hide your weaknesses when the opposing coach is game planning specifically for your team for a four to seven game series. If there was coach and team that was going to expose the Hawks, it wasn’t going to be Lionel Hollins and the Nets. Not once did I think Brooklyn was going to win that series, even when it was tied at two games apiece.

Back to the injury comment earlier. You’ve heard the overly used cliché “well-oiled machine” when describing certain systems. Think of the Atlanta Hawks as a car. When all the parts work, it gets you from point-a to point-b without any dilemmas. However, throw in a transmission problem or a faulty tire alignment, and you’ve got yourself a problem. You’re still going to be able to get to the grocery store and back without anything going drastically wrong; but if you have to make a long day trip somewhere, battling potholes, environmental conditions, and constant driving, then you’re car is likely to break down at some point.

That’s the Atlanta Hawks right now. Paul Milsap and Al Horford are banged up, putting more pressure on the other parts to compensate for the injured parts. It’s one thing to be injured in the regular season. Coaches can elect to rest the banged up players for long stretches at a time. In the playoffs, high level games are happening on two to three days’ rest. Atlanta did not do themselves any favors by letting their first round series go past five games. Now they’ll face a young and fresh Washington Wizards team that’s had over a week to rest and game plan for this series.

(Image from Yahoo! Sports) I love when I see teammates having fun with each other outside of games. It’s great for team chemistry, which goes a long way in the playoffs.

The Wizards are on the right side of the spectrum. They came into this season with a second round playoff appearance in their hip pockets, expecting to make the next leap. However, they were injured for long stretches of time throughout the season, putting somewhat of a chokehold on their development. All year fans wondered what this team would look like if they were healthy. Enter the first round of the playoffs. A 4-0 sweep of the Toronto Raptors, despite the Wiz-kids having to play the first two games in the T Dot. John Wall was slashing-and-kicking, Bradley Beal and Marcin Gortat started looking like 2014 Beal and Gortat, and Otto Porter started looking like an actual NBA rotation player. Let’s not undermine Paul Pierce’s role on this team, as well. He gives this young team leadership, swagger, and a swift kick in the butt. Coach Randy Wittman’s decision to move Pierce to the four spot has proven to be effective, and will help the Wiz in their series with the Hawks.

Pierce’s new role as a stretch-four will be beneficial for the Wizards in the second round. The Hawks pace-and-space offense keeps the bigs away from the basket, which would have been a problem for the Nene-Gortat frontcourt since they’re not comfortable playing so far from the paint. Pierce’s quality defense and perimeter instincts will serve him well against Paul Milsap. I also like John Wall over Jeff Teague in the battle of the point guards. But the biggest concern I have for the Hawks is there health. If they could stay healthy, I’d take the Hawks in seven; but I can’t see myself picking a team that’s’ so banged up playing against a team that’s healthy and hot at the right time.

Wizards defeat Hawks in 6

 

(2) Cleveland Cavaliers vs. (3) Chicago Bulls

First Round Finishes: Cle 4 – Bos 0; Chi 4 – Mil 2

Season Series: Cle 3 – Chi 1

The Eastern Conference Playoffs path for the Cleveland Cavaliers has had somewhat of a “This is Your Life” kind of feel for LeBron James. Round one gave us a Cavaliers-Celtics match up that was reminiscent of the old days; and by ‘old days’ I mean three to six years ago. The city of Boston and their beloved Celtics have despised the King long before it was cool to despise the King; from his first go-around in Cleveland, to his four year stint in Miami, and now back to Cleveland. Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, Rajon Rondo, and Doc Rivers weren’t walking through that door. But this first round match up gave us a new chapter in the LeBron-Celtics rivalry, to the tune of LeBron talking smack to Evan Turner, Kelly Olynyk tearing Kevin Love’s labrum, and JR Smith’s cheap shot on Jae Crowder.

Round two will pin LeBron and the Cavs against another familiar adversary: the Chicago Bulls. This will mark the fourth time the Bulls will face a LeBron-laden team in the playoffs (Chicago has lost all three duels). If there’s one thing I love about Bulls center Joakim Noah, it’s his competitiveness; or more so his disdain for anyone NOT wearing a Bulls uniform. As for the King? Let’s just say there’s a special place in Noah’s heart for one LeBron James. Just look up “Joakim Noah hates LeBron James ” on YouTube, and I promise you won’t be disappointed. Derrick Rose may be Chicago’s son and Jimmy Butler may be a budding star, but Joakim Noah is the heart of the Chicago Bulls. And he wears that heart on his sleeve.

(Image from CavsNation.com) This image sums up what LeBron-laden teams have done to the Bulls in the playoffs.

This will be my favorite series of the second round, and not just for the aforementioned reasons. I chose Cavs/Bulls as my preseason pick for the Eastern Conference Finals earlier this year, but since the Atlanta Hawks decided to crash the party I’ll have to settle for these two playing in the second round.

There’s a lot going on in this series for both teams. Cleveland lost Kevin Love, his 18.3 points and 9 rebounds/game, and depth in the front court for the remainder of the playoffs due to a torn labrum suffered at the arms of Kelly Olynyk. They’ll also be without starting headcase shooting guard JR Smith for the first two games of this series due to the swing he took at the Celtics’ Jae Crowder in game four of round one; which is ironically not the first time JR Smith took a cheap shot at a Celtic’s player in the first round of the playoffs at the TD Garden . Then there’s the big green elephant in the room that even though the Cavs swept the Celts, they let them hang around in each of the four games. The Celtics may have been scrappy, but the Cavaliers probably should have had a slightly larger average margin of victory, no?

As for the Bulls, can you remember the last time any team went from “can this team find a groove in the playoffs?” to “this team can win the East,” to “are we sure this team is healthy enough to make a run?” back to “this team can win the East” all in the span of a six-game series? Joakim Noah and Nikola Mirotic are banged up, Derrick Rose has been inconsistent, and the Bulls were outplayed in there closeout game at home. Anyone who’s bearish on the Bulls (pun intended) is probably not that far off.

I’m going to give both the Cavs and the Bulls the benefits of the doubt for their last series. The Cavs knew they were far and away better than the Celtics, and just took them lightly. If they wanted to, they could’ve beaten them by 20 each of the first four games; but they didn’t want to expend all that energy in the first round, nor give anything away to their next opponents. I think the Bulls just assumed they were going to close out the series in game five in Chicago; but Milwaukee put together one of their best games of the season and just blew past a Bulls team that was looking ahead to the Cavs. I feel pretty good about that statement considering they put a 54-point smackdown on the Bucks in Milwaukee in game 6 to end the series.

Taking all the variables into consideration, I’d be shocked if this series didn’t go to seven games. I can see this series being tied at two, with both teams stealing a win on the opponent’s home court. It should be interesting to see the adjustments (figure) Head Coach David Blatt and (player coach) LeBron James make without two of their starters, and how the Bulls respond. I also look forward to seeing if the Bulls’ inconsistencies carry over into the second round. There’s no doubt that both teams will get up for each game;  but I think the home court advantage takes over games five, six, and seven.

Cavaliers defeat Bulls in 7

Honorable mention: Jimmy Butler has averaged 24.8 points, 3.8 assists, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 steals and has posted a 48-41-79 shooting split. In the words of Teddy KGB from Rounders, “Pay that man his money .”


That does it for my second round preview and predictions! Expect a conference finals preview in about two weeks. While I may have patted myself on the back for my round one picks, just know I will be back even if I go 0-4 in round two; and I’ll eat crow.

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Clippers, Spurs as intriguing as it gets

(Photo courtesy of www.nba.com)

Doc Rivers and Gregg Popovich. Blake Griffin and Tim Duncan. Chris Paul and Tony Parker. Under normal circumstances, such a powerhouse clash is more likely to take place in the later rounds. But the West isn’t normal.

The Clippers are streaking heading into their first round matchup with the defending champs, winning 19 of their final 24 regular season games. The Spurs have been hot as well, winners of 11 of their last 12.

Four of the seven games in the series will take place in the Staples Center, primarily because San Antonio dropped its final regular season game in New Orleans. Had the Spurs defeated the Pelicans, they would have locked up the two seed. Instead, due to the tightly-knit Western Conference, San Antonio fell four spots to the six seed, one game behind division-winning Houston.

The third seed Clippers who hadn’t sniffed life after the second round since moving to Los Angeles in 1984, have their work cut out for them. Despite the lower seeding, the Spurs are expected by most NBA pundits to get through to the second round. If LA is to advance, Chris Paul must shine. The eight-time all star has his own chip on his shoulder. Playoff success has been hard to come by for Paul, and this year won’t get any easier for him.

Based on the regular season meetings, all signs point to a competitive series. The teams split the four games this season, with three of the four games being decided by no more than seven points. However, as evenly-matched as the two teams are, the Clippers’ lack of depth could prove costly. Aside from Jamal Crawford, the bench is extremely thin.

The same cannot be said for San Antonio. The roster is deep and the bench has played a vital role in the team’s success. Manu Ginobili, Marco Belinelli, Boris Diaw, Cory Joseph and Patty Mills headline a group that ranks second overall in bench production. The Clippers are at a palpable disadvantage here.

But at the same time, the Clippers have maintained the league’s top offense all season. The starting five is nearly flawless and exceptionally difficult to contain. It will be interesting to see how often Popovich uses the hack-a-Jordan method to slow down LA’s high octane offense. As painful as it for fans to watch, there’s no doubting its effectiveness. The last time these two teams met, the method worked well. DeAndre Jordan made only 10 of 28 free throws.

At the end of the day, I like the Clippers’ chances to advance. They are playing extremely well and have the home court advantage. The Spurs have consistently defied the odds and proven doubters wrong. Their run, however, ends here. Clippers in seven.

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NBA Playoffs First Round Preview and Picks (Part 1: Western Conference)

(Image from BouncyOrangeBall.com)

 

As the 82-game round robin has ended, so do the seasons of 14 NBA teams. For some, the season ended in the last couple weeks in which they were not able to do enough to secure a playoff berth. For most teams though, the season ended long before the clock hit 00:0 at the end of game 82.  However for 16 fortunate teams, a new journey has begun; a new beast to conquer. Yes, 16 wins separates them from the Larry O’Brien trophy and a place in basketball immortality. In a league that determines greatness by the rings on your fingers, legacies are often built and broken during these next eight weeks. As the weather continues to warm up, so does the NBA action; and every big time performance, buzzer-beater, and upset win will get lumped into the inevitable “NBA Playoffs: Where Amazing Happens” montage.

Speaking of where amazing happens…

Last year’s first round gave us what I believe to be the most exciting opening round in recent history, as it included an NBA record five game sevens, three of the eight match ups ending with an upset, a series-ending block at the buzzer , and a series-ending 3-pointer at the buzzer .

Some NBA pundits are bearish on this year’s first round of the NBA playoffs. While I don’t anticipate five game sevens, this year’s opening round should still give us some exciting basketball.

Walk with me as I put myself, as well as my credibility out in the open and make my first round picks and predictions.

Part 1: Western Conference

Part 2: Eastern Conference

Western Conference

If the Western Conference playoffs were a reality TV show, it’d be called Survivor: Western Conference. Each team brings a different set of skills to the island. Where the older, more experienced contestants are typically the favorites to win the grand prize, some of the younger contestants have shown the creativity and resourcefulness to make a deep run in the competition. It’s a conference where at least seven fan bases can make a reasonable argument as to why their team belongs in the NBA Finals.

 

And the first round match ups…

 

(1) Golden State Warriors vs. (8) New Orleans Pelicans

Records: GSW 67-15; NOP 45-37

Season Series: GSW 3 – NOP 1

Let me start off by congratulating the Golden State Warriors for finishing the season 67-15, tying the 1991-92 Bulls for the third best regular season record of all-time.

The Warriors bring their MVP frontrunner (Stephen Curry), their coach of the year candidate (Steve Kerr), their super deep/healthy team, and the NBA’s best home court advantage (39-2 at the Oracle Arena) into a first round matchup with the allegedly “happy to be here” Pelicans of New Orleans.

(Image from BasketSession.com)(Left to Right) Tyreke Evans, Stephen Curry, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Jrue Holiday

The Pelicans basically started their postseason on the last day of the regular season with a home game against the reigning champion Spurs. The Spurs needed a win to clinch a 2-seed, and the Pellies needed a win to secure a playoff spot. In stunning fashion, the Pelicans outlasted the Spurs 108-103 in one of the most emotional “play-in” games in recent memory.

The interesting thing about these teams’ season series is that Anthony Davis only played in two of the four games: a 27 point loss in Golden State (12/14/2014) and a 3 point win in New Orleans (04/07/2015). In his two games against the Dubs, The Brow went for 30 points, 15 rebounds, and 3 blocks, and 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 4 blocks.

The Warriors may lead the league in defensive efficiency (98.2), but they cannot stop Anthony Davis from doing Anthony Davis things. The Pelicans face their own conundrum, though: how do they stop the Splash Brothers? Jrue Holiday, a capable defender when healthy, has played only three games since returning from a stress reaction in his right leg. While Pelicans Coach Monty Williams hopes Holiday can start for his squad against the Warriors, history tells us that he probably won’t be that effective, as he still has to get back into “game shape.”

Predictions:

The Warriors will not stop Anthony Davis. The best Draymond Green, Andrew Bogut, and the rest of the front court can hope to do is slow the man down; try to limit his production. The Warriors are a sophisticated defensive team. If Davis is going to put up big numbers, they’ll be sure to make sure their next best players don’t get hot. This shouldn’t be a tall order, considering Tyreke Evans and company aren’t the most imposing of threats.

My prediction for the Warriors is that they’ll lose two home games in their entire playoff campaign. Steve Kerr’s lack of playoff coaching experience may haunt him in certain spots in the playoffs, but not verse the Pelicans. Too much Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and overall depth will be the demise of the Pelicans.

Warriors defeat Pelicans in 5

 

(4) Portland Trail Blazers vs. (5) Memphis Grizzlies

Records: Por 51-31; Mem 55-27

Season Series: Por 0 – Mem 4

The Portland Trail Blazers sent ripples across the West with their Northwest Division Title. NBA rules mandate that all division winners are awarded home court advantage in the first round, despite their overall record. This explains why the Blazers have a 4-seed when they finished with the West’s 6th best record. The Grizz would have found themselves in the 4/5 match up, anyway (this time as a 4-seed); except they would’ve been paired with the reigning champion Spurs. In retrospect, the Grizzlies might have been the only winners in this fiasco. I’m sure your favorite team would sacrifice home court advantage for one series to not play against the Spurs; “Search your feelings, you know it to be true,” I say in my best Darth Vader impression.

The Portland Trail Blazers were 40-19 and title contenders going into their March 5th match up with the Dallas Mavericks. The Blazers may have won that night in regards to the box score, but they lost when Wesley Matthews went down with a ruptured achilles tendon. The Blazers were already battling injuries all season long, but the Matthews injury was the most devastating. Not only was Matthews their best defender, but he was the leader of the locker room. The Blazers stumbled to the finish with a 10-12 record in their final 22 games.

(Image from FanSided.com) Both Portland and Memphis had title aspirations as late as February. Injuries and sluggish play have sent them back to reality.

The Memphis Grizzlies also started their season strong with title aspirations. They acquired swingman Jeff Green from the Celtics in a mid-season trade to boost their offense. The trade appeared to be just what the Grizz needed, as they went 15-3 in the 18 games following the swap. However, Memphis played .500-ball down the stretch, going 14-13 in their final 27 games. The “can this team score enough points to make a deep run” questions began to resurface with theirs sluggish play down the stretch.

The theme of this playoff match up is ‘injuries.’ With Wesley Matthews out for the postseason, Dorrell Wright sidelined with a broken hand, and LaMarcus Aldridge, Nicholas Batum, Arron Afflalo, CJ McCollum, and Chris Kaman all battling injuries, the Blazers certainly have their work cut out for them. Fortunately for them, the Grizzlies are also a little bit banged up. Mike Conley is questionable for game one, and Zach Randolph and Tony Allen are both coming off injuries of their own.

Memphis has Portland’s number this season, winning the series 4-0. Portland has also gone 1-7 in their last 8 games against playoff teams.  The Blazers are just too hurt right now.

Predictions:

While the Grizzlies may have played .500-basketball down the stretch, they’re still one of the five best defensive teams in the NBA.  Aldridge and Robin Lopez will struggle down low against the best defensive front court in the league. Portland’s lack of depth will ultimately be there killer.

Grizzlies defeat Trail Blazers in 5

 

(3) Los Angeles Clippers vs. (6) San Antonio Spurs

Records: LAC 56-26; SAS 55-27

Season Series: LAC 2 – SAS 2

If there’s any team that should be angry with the Trail Blazers earning a 4-seed, it’s the Los Angeles Clippers.

As I mentioned earlier, legacies are often made or broken in the NBA playoffs. Chris Paul knows this reality all too well. After all, the biggest glitch on his Hall of Fame resume is the fact that he has yet to compete in a conference finals in his career. The NBA’s most offensively efficient point guard has led the league’s most offensively efficient team to a third straight 56+ win season and a 3-seed in the playoffs. Though, I’d be remiss if I didn’t give credit to another key player. DeAndre Jordan’s most dominant season couldn’t have come at a better time. With Blake Griffin struggling to follow up his own breakout year, DeAndre has kept the front court afloat and the paint off limits to any intruder.

(Image from USAToday.com) Doc Rivers has turned DeAndre Jordan in to a top five center worthy of a max contract this summer

The Clippers’ reward for their regular season success: having to play the reigning champion San Antonio Spurs in the first round.

I don’t think the Spurs will lose too much sleep over being a 6-seed. After all, how many times have we seen Coach Gregg Popovich not take the regular season seriously until the final leg? Yes, the Spurs did what the Spurs do best: coast through the regular season, get hot late, and ride that momentum into the playoffs. Following the Spurs cardiac arrest-inducing overtime loss to the New York Knicks on St. Patty’s Day, Pop’s crew went 14-2 in their final 16 games, with wins over the Hawks, Mavs, Grizzlies, Warriors, Thunder (twice), and the Rockets (also twice). Tim Duncan is still showing us why he’s the greatest power forward of all time, and Kawhi Leonard has emerged as one of the best two-way players in the league.

The Clippers drew even with the Spurs after falling behind 2-0 in the season series. Both teams have a win on the opponent’s court to their credit.

Predictions:

The playoffs are often a chess match, and Gregg Popovich understands this better than anyone. The last time these teams faced each other, it was Pop ordering the “Hack-a-Shaq” on DeAndre Jordan, sending him to the free throw line for 28 free throw attempts (DJ made 10 of 28). Look for Pop to continue this strategy to neutralize Jordan’s dominance inside. Coach Doc Rivers will sit Jordan for pro-longed stretches late in games; thus, diminishing the effect of the Paul-Griffin-Jordan Big-3. The Spurs momentum and depth will overpower LA’s talent.

Spurs defeat Clippers in 6

 

(2) Houston Rockets vs. (7) Dallas Mavericks

Records: Hou 56-26; Dal 50-32

Season Series: Hou 3 – Dal 1

Last summer Chandler Parsons agreed to a contract with the Dallas Mavericks, and the Houston Rockets elected not to match the offer. Instead, they brought in veteran swingman and former champion Trevor Ariza to replace the former Florida Gator. James Harden said of Parsons’ departure ,

“Dwight (Howard) and I are the cornerstones of the Rockets. The rest of the guys are role players or pieces that complete our team. We’ve lost some pieces and added some pieces. I think we’ll be fine next season.”

I’d say those are fighting words.

Other notable narratives in no particular order:

  • Veteran point guard Jason Terry was a member of the Dallas Mavericks’ 2011 championship team, and now plays a large role for the Houston Rockets
  • Rockets’ General Manager Daryl Morey and Mavericks owner Mark Cuban have a rivalry that’s been brewing for a few years; since Morey won over Dwight Howard in 2013 and tried to sign Dirk Nowitzki in the 2014 free agency period.
  • The intrastate rivalry probably has something to with it too, don’t ya think?

What James Harden has done one year removed from a putrid playoff performance is unbelievable. The MVP candidate has led his injury depleted team to 56 wins and a 2-seed in a loaded Western Conference, without having Dwight Howard on the court with him for 41 games. James Harden skeptics are quick to argue that he will not be able to carry his Rockets team deep into the playoffs; that the NBA playoffs are not designed for one player to carry the load. A healthy Dwight Howard is exactly what the Rockets need to advance.

(Image from Zimbio.com) Former comrades James Harden (left) and Chandler Parsons (right) will square off for the first time in a playoff series, eager to prove each other wrong

What concerns me moving forward, though, are a trio of injuries for the Rockets that emerged over the last month. Starting point guard and pesky defender Patrick Beverly, back-up center Donatas Motiejunas, and rookie shooting guard KJ McDaniels will miss the entire postseason.

As for the Mavericks…

The 2011 championship band is back together after trading for Tyson Chandler and signing JJ Barea last summer. And the addition of Chandler Parsons last summer was aimed to serve as  a reinforcement on the perimeter. I was one of the people who believed that the Rajon Rondo trade would make the Dallas Mavericks the favorites coming out of the Western Conference. Instead, the Mavs gave up their front court depth for a point guard that’s more stats-oriented than team-oriented, and rocks a 44-35-45 shooting split in his time with the Mavericks.

One final stat: the Dallas Mavericks would be the first team to ever win a playoff series with a point guard who started at least 46 games, shot less than 45% from the field, 36% from three, and 50% from the free throw line. Just saying.

Predictions:

Rondo’s ineffectiveness will offset the Patrick Beverly injury to an extent. Houston’s injuries will keep this series close, as will Dwight Howard’s inability to find a rhythm early on in the match up. The Mavericks will beat the crap out of James Harden every time he draws a foul in the paint, but it’ll be Harden sticking a fork in the Mavericks with his big play down the stretch.

Rockets defeat Mavericks in 7

 


 

That’s it for the Western Conference Playoffs first round preview. Hang tight for my Eastern Conference predictions and picks coming in Part 2!

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Mike Woodson Has A Mustache! And Other Strange Things From Cleveland

(Photo from espn.com)

What a game tonight promised to hold! Two elite teams that are each, in their own way, deprived a fair amount of the credit they deserve. Two participants in the three-point contest, four All-Stars overall. Two coaches that have earned the title “Champion,” albeit in different leagues. Three of the best athletes in the world.

Sadly, the game was a slaughter, and the most interesting plotline was taking place on the Clippers bench, in a slightly-too-big suit and a look of weary melancholy–that’s right: Clippers Assistant Coach Mike Woodson!

Now, as a Knicks fan, I spent several years developing a certain affection for Mike Woodson, not despite his refusal to call time outs and actually run plays late in games, or his half-shut eyes that seem to carry the weight of the world, or even his refusal to ever say anything insightful to the media, but partially because of those things.

But mostly, it was the goatee. If you’re not familiar with the Mike Woodson goatee, allow the man to demonstrate:

(Photo from deadspin.com)

Sure, the picture’s grainy, but this is no Bigfoot spoofery. Behold its splendor in thrilling HD (3D to be available next season):

(Photo via USA Today)

It’s more plushy than a Beanie Baby. Blacker than the darkest night. It doesn’t look like hair so much as a combination of meadow moss and a soft fluffy cloud. But it’s not just the beard in a vacuum–it’s how the beard enhances the pain in his eyes, and vice versa. They say that the eyes are the windows to the soul, well Mike Woodson’s beard is the window to those windows. Why are there two levels of windows you might ask?

(gif via reddit.com)

That’s why.

Tonight, however, the Woodster’s beard was nowhere to be found, replaced by a lifeless and utterly uncloudlike mustache. Granted, it’s not the first time Mike has experimented with mustaches: there was, of course, that fateful summer when his eyebrows decided to treat themselves to a vacation on the Upper Lip Side:

(Photo from espn.com)

But that was different. That with in Atlanta, in the time BG (Before Goatee). The truth is, by now he should know better. Luckily, so far no pictures have made it to Google–or at least my safety settings are blocking them.

Back To The Game

Some things of note that happened on the actual hardwood: five technicals were bequeathed upon the visiting Clippers. One to Doc Rivers, one to Chris Paul, one to DeAndre the Giant (who quite clearly screamed “And-one, Goddamn it!” at the ref who had just given his teammate a T for a hell of a lot less), and two to league bad boy Matt Barnes, at least one of which was very undeserved.

The result of this? Free throws galore, especially for Love (10-12) and Kyrie (7-7). Cleveland took a 23 point lead at half and ballooned it all the way to 32 during the melt down-y third quarter. Both teams pulled their starters before the end of the third, and though LA whittled down the lead to slightly more defensible (not that they were playing much of that) gap in garbage time, but it just wasn’t enough.

Kind of like Woodson’s mustache.

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The Clippers’ Playoff Conundrum

(Photo from www.reddit.com)

Pound for pound, the best point guard in the league. Arguably the best power forward in the league. One of the top centers in the league. A role player, who quite frankly, isn’t a role player, and who could realistically win the 6th Man award each year he comes off the bench. A coach who boasts an NBA championship and who has established himself as one of the top-tier coaches in the game today. With such indispensable parts, you can’t help but to think of a power house organization, always capable of lifting Larry O’brien at season’s end. Despite this being a fitting description of the LA Clippers, it’s somewhat baffling that they HAVEN’T yet hoisted a championship banner with Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan, Jamal Crawford and Doc Rivers at the helm. They’ve most certainly been capable and have had ample opportunity to do so, but when push comes to shove, they haven’t been able to fully bring it together.

To many fans in LA, the Clippers are still the little brother to the squad across the hall. As true as this is with regard to championships, it’s quite apparent how much better the Clippers are right now. They play with a distinct combination of finesse and flair that can appeal to even the most lukewarm NBA fan. Owners of the league’s most athletic front-court, it’s no secret as to why Lob City has enjoyed so much regular season success in recent years. Dating back to 2011, the Clippers have finished a season no worse than 14 games above the .500 mark. There’s no denying how effective this group has been.

But what continues to remain a constant the past few years are the postseason struggles. The Clippers’ style of play simply hasn’t translated to success in late April and into June, a time when the games truly matter. The regular season and playoffs are nearly incomparable. The game slows down. Half-court offense becomes a necessity and those who struggle without the aid of a fast-break are often exposed. Defense becomes magnified. Gone are the games reaching the 120’s, games the Clippers are typically involved in throughout the regular season.

The Clippers finished the 2011-2012 season second in the Pacific Division and fifth in the West, but only to see their regular season success go for naught, after getting swept by San Antonio in the second round. After finishing atop the division the following year, the Clippers were ousted in the first round by the Grizzlies, clearly unable to overcome the physicality and tough defense Memphis is commonly known for. The Clippers would continue this alarming trend, getting eliminated by OKC in the second round of last year’s playoffs, and this after earning the 3rd seed out West.

Here they are again, currently sporting a 23-11 record, winners of three straight. But why should this year be any different? Doc Rivers was brought in last year in hopes that he could solve the franchise’s snakebitten playoff performances. However, other than Rivers, the roster remains largely the same. They undoubtedly have enough pieces to complete the puzzle, but in a year where the Western Conference seems to be as competitive as it’s ever been, Lob City has its work cut out.

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